The only good news in here for Corbett is that some Republicans are starting to come home. The bad news is that even more undecideds are joining the #Wolfpack. Also notable: F&M asks voters who they expect to win, which is considered a more reliable predictor than asking voters who they personally plan to vote for:
York County businessman Tom Wolf leads Corbett by 22 points, 47 to 25 percent, with 27 percent of voters still undecided […]
Fifty-four percent of all the registered voters in the poll expect Wolf to win the Nov. 4 general election while just 19 percent expect Corbett to pull out a victory. Just one in four voters think Corbett deserves a second term.
While the poll shows Corbett doing better with Republicans than he has in previous surveys, it also shows some in his party giving up on their candidate.
“He’s losing one in five Republicans,” Madonna said. “And he’s losing 2-to-1 among independents. That’s not a recipe for victory.”
The F&M memo also puts Corbett’s travails in context with this comparison to where Rendell and Ridge were polling at this point in their terms. Don’t (no really don’t) call it a comeback:
(via Chris Brennan)